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XG 3 ply search interval RO test results= WOW !

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Saturday, 8 May 2010, at 7:46 p.m.

In Response To: XG 3 ply search interval RO test in progress (neilkaz)

Yes, there's still lots of varience in 5184 trials, but note these are all same RO seed.




is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 197
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 79
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-bbcEED---A-a--a-----b-bb-:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 58.26% (G: 37.56% B: 13.01%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 41.74% (G: 0.28% B: 0.01%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 59.13% (G: 37.49% B: 13.09%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 40.87% (G: 0.28% B: 0.02%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.668
Redouble:+1.371
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.942 (-0.058)
Redouble/Take:+1.024 (+0.024)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 87427665
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Search interval: Huge
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.029 (+0.913...+0.971)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.042 (+0.982...+1.066)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 86.8%
Duration: 33 minutes 34 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.14
is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 197
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 79
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-bbcEED---A-a--a-----b-bb-:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 58.62% (G: 37.87% B: 13.10%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 41.38% (G: 0.29% B: 0.01%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 59.85% (G: 38.25% B: 13.27%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 40.15% (G: 0.29% B: 0.02%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.679
Redouble:+1.418
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.961 (-0.039)
Redouble/Take:+1.098 (+0.098)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 87427665
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Search interval: Large
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.028 (+0.933...+0.989)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.043 (+1.055...+1.141)
Double Decision confidence: 99.7%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 26 minutes 47 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.14
is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 197
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 79
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-bbcEED---A-a--a-----b-bb-:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 59.42% (G: 39.10% B: 13.46%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 40.58% (G: 0.30% B: 0.02%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 60.89% (G: 39.79% B: 14.01%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 39.11% (G: 0.30% B: 0.02%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.711
Redouble:+1.505
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+1.015
Redouble/Take:+1.191 (+0.176)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (-0.015)
Best Cube action: Too Good to Redouble / Drop
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 87427665
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.029 (+0.986...+1.044)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.043 (+1.148...+1.234)
Double Decision confidence: 84.4%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 19 minutes 34 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.14

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