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Using hyperpips to determine winning %

Posted By: Casper van der Tak
Date: Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 6:40 p.m.

In Response To: Using hyperpips to determine winning % (Bob Koca)

I don't think hyperpipping is useful for the reason that you gave.

I'd probably just try to estimate average winning chances after entering on the first roll, the second roll, and the third roll, multiply by 1/3, 2/9 and 4/27 respectively, and add a percent or so for winning chances in sequences not covered. I'll probably cancel pick and pass against jokers from the bar, that seems OK given the likelihood vs size of the swings. If you plug in 40%, 25%, and 10%, you'd get 40/3 + 50/9 + 40/27 + 1 you get about 21.5%, which looks in the ballpark. That is what I'd do OTB. Might be wrong, I did not try to do a proper analysis of the 40%, 25%, and 10%, but the number would look plausible to me.

Messages In This Thread

• Using hyperpips to determine winning %
  Chase -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 2:17 p.m.
  • Using hyperpips to determine winning %
    Bob Koca -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 4:41 p.m.
    • Using hyperpips to determine winning %
      Casper van der Tak -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 6:40 p.m.
    • Using hyperpips to determine winning %
      Chase -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 7:00 p.m.
      • Using hyperpips to determine winning %
        Bob Koca -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 8:05 p.m.
        • Thanks, Bob *NM*
          Chase -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 9:01 p.m.
    • Using hyperpips to determine winning %
      Chase -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 10:46 p.m.