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So you're not as good as the other player ...

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Friday, 21 May 2010, at 5:48 a.m.

In Response To: So you're not as good as the other player ... (Stick)

I'm sorry the questions may be less interesting than I thought they were.

Or maybe the examples are bad. I thought of them because I've seen them in real live games, and seen real players who thought there were good do unusual things. It seems to me horrendously bad to drop the 5-2 position -- at $1 a point on a 4-cube, dropping loses $2 a game while taking loses 22 cents. But not doubling the 5-2 position is not nearly as bad. Not doubling wins 11 cents per game instead of winning 22 cents. Would it ever make sense that you're so much better than your opponent that you would not want to double the stakes on a 2/36 edge?

Maybe these questions are better: suppose you're in a money session. If you're a 40% dog to win any game, or a 60% favorite, is your dead cube doubling window still 50-75%? Is your dead cube take point still 25%?

The connection between money play and match play is simply that from GWC we get Elo differences, or is it vice versa? And from Elo differences, we get differential match equity tables. And from those we get differential doubling windows at whatever score.

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