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BGonline.org Forums
62S-55-F-C and 21S-55-F-C Rollouts
Posted By: Stick In Response To: 51S-55A-Fan cube RO (christian munk-christensen)
Date: Saturday, 22 May 2010, at 8:48 a.m.
Move number 4: user on roll, cube decision?
gnubg 160
user 147 Position ID: 4HPkQUAzTvABMA Match ID: cAkAAAAAAAAA
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.6168 Cubeful equities: 1. Double, pass +1.0000 2. Double, take +1.0224 +0.0224 3. No double +0.7903 -0.2097 Proper cube action: Double, pass Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6534 0.3778 0.0146 - 0.3466 0.0792 0.0034 +0.6168 +0.7903 Standard error 0.0006 0.0007 0.0002 - 0.0006 0.0005 0.0001 0.0015 0.0063 Player gnubg owns 2-cube 0.6646 0.3866 0.0142 - 0.3354 0.0764 0.0037 +1.2997 +1.0224 Standard error 0.0008 0.0011 0.0004 - 0.0008 0.0007 0.0002 0.0045 0.0066 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1043918976 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
Move number 4: user on roll, cube decision?
gnubg 165
user 147 Position ID: 4HPkAUgzTvABMA Match ID: cAkAAAAAAAAA
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.4091 Cubeful equities: 1. No double +0.5504 2. Double, pass +1.0000 +0.4496 3. Double, take +0.5202 -0.0302 Proper cube action: No double, take (6.3%) Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6037 0.2969 0.0102 - 0.3963 0.1008 0.0045 +0.4091 +0.5504 Standard error 0.0010 0.0013 0.0004 - 0.0010 0.0009 0.0003 0.0026 0.0096 Player gnubg owns 2-cube 0.6103 0.3040 0.0091 - 0.3897 0.1010 0.0053 +0.8551 +0.5202 Standard error 0.0011 0.0015 0.0005 - 0.0011 0.0010 0.0003 0.0062 0.0094 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 2592 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1043857910 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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