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OLM Fr 07/02/10

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Friday, 2 July 2010, at 10:26 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Fr 07/02/10 (Jason Lee)

13/11 is the easy part.

The five is either 13/8 or 6/1*. We like our race lead and want to keep it. How concerned are we with the opp's checker on our acepoint? Enough to try and knock it off there now, when it's harder to get trapped if it return hits?

If we don't leave a blot this turn, will we likely leave one in the future? Not clear to me. Will that blot be worse? Probably a bit because opp's board will be better, but unless its board is a LOT better that hit won't be fatal. If we can make some points in our board, we may not have to chance a blot (i.e. we might cash with the cube) and we may be able to hit the blot with a point-on-head (PoH) roll, with no risk. Or opp might run off there voluntarily.

Hitting loose on the acepoint is usually out of desperation and/or with a need for tempo. Neither fits this situation, IMO.

13/8, 13/11.

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