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OLM Su 07/25/10

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Sunday, 25 July 2010, at 10:57 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Su 07/25/10 (Jason Lee)

25/24 is forced and 2/1* may as well be.

It would be nice to duplicate opp's entering and covering numbers, but that really isn't possible here. 5's are the only duplicated singlets. We have the choice of blocking 2-2 or 3-3 but not both.

We don't want to leave a second blot, and here that doesn't really help our offense that I can see. So it looks to be between 3/1 and 8/6 (which, BTW, leave 13 shots and 11 shots respectively). (9/8[2] also fits the bill, but an inefficient point is better than not, particularly when lifting leaves a five stack.)

8/6 may save a few more gammons, but 3/1 appears more efficient (giving up points 6 apart) and potentially has slightly better timing if we get some kind of miracle sequence where opp breaks the prime before escaping.

I'm not sure which of these factors takes precedence, but saving 2/36 immediate hits seems to me to be most important here.

Summary: 25/24, 2/1*, 8/6.

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