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3ply RO Posted of Double and Redouble

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Monday, 2 August 2010, at 10:10 p.m.

In Response To: Play like a top Giant ??? (neilkaz)

Neil says he will post his 4ply RO. It will be interesting to compare it to my 3ply RO.





is mochy

score: 8
pip: 139
11 point match
pip: 149
score: 5

is peever
XGID=-aa---E-D--AcDa----cbbb-A-:0:0:-1:D:5:8:0:11:10
double to 2 take ?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 70.50% (G: 36.57% B: 1.72%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 29.50% (G: 5.54% B: 0.38%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 70.91% (G: 37.70% B: 3.35%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 29.09% (G: 5.48% B: 0.55%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.801
Double:+1.360
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.803 (-0.040)
Double/Take:+0.843
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.157)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
4863 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.010 (+0.794...+0.813)
Confidence Double: ± 0.015 (+0.828...+0.858)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 13 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.20, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross





is mochy

score: 8
pip: 150
11 point match
pip: 146
score: 5

is peever
XGID=-b--aBC-D--AcD-----cbbbA--:1:1:1:D:5:8:0:11:10
double to 4 take ?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 55.81% (G: 13.47% B: 2.04%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 44.19% (G: 16.85% B: 1.28%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 56.07% (G: 13.30% B: 2.33%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 43.93% (G: 16.39% B: 1.83%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.193
Redouble:+0.750
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.693 (-0.057)
Redouble/Take:+0.750
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.250)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
431 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.026 (+0.667...+0.720)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.031 (+0.719...+0.781)
Double Decision confidence: 99.7%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 7 minutes 38 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.20, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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