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Proposing 5k as minimum standard for early game rollouts

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 9 August 2010, at 8:00 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout Result Posted, Analysis Repeated (Paul Weaver)

Interesting rollout result. It's surprising that Snowie (albeit no live cube) and XG disagree so violently on the margins (and, moreover, claim a different best play). I should also say, though, that while I'm most appreciative of the CPU time people put in, I'm less than delighted about digesting any early game rollout of fewer than 5k trials. To me, improving is not solely about figuring out the best play with so little emphasis placed on the value of knowing the ball park margin. It forms a shaky foundation for analysis (due to the whims of variance).

I hope someone does a longer rollout on some bot (XG or otherwise).

Nack

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