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Rollout: Double 2's in a mutual holding game

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Monday, 30 August 2010, at 4:55 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout: Double 2's in a mutual holding game (Timothy Chow)

5-3 and either 5-2 or 5-4 (depending upon where Blue leaves the blot) give White the choice of hitting or breaking the homeboard.

I thought a bit more last night and wondered if a bigger factor is how White plays 6-x when Blue keeps his 20-point and shifts from the 9-point to the 7-point. In general neither breaking the 11-point nor running one is good for White, and again Blue's extra shooter (when not hit) adds shots. Blue will often PoH in the homeboard, so maybe it's a small effect. Then again we're only talking about a few ticks (hundredths) in equity difference.

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