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RO

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Monday, 6 September 2010, at 12:50 a.m.

In Response To: Doubles cube decision from Madison (Chuck Bower)

Pretty close...





White is Player 1

score: 1
pip: 79
7 point match
pip: 153
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=---BaBC-B-a--C--A---cbddB-:1:1:1:00:0:1:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 67.35% (G: 16.77% B: 0.82%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.65% (G: 14.50% B: 2.81%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 69.26% (G: 17.91% B: 1.10%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 30.74% (G: 14.57% B: 6.08%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.352
Redouble:+1.026
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.776 (-0.190)
Redouble/Take:+0.965
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.035)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.016 (+0.760...+0.791)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.023 (+0.942...+0.989)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 99.8%
Duration: 37 minutes 55 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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