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Rollout

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Monday, 6 September 2010, at 6:25 a.m.

In Response To: matchcube in Madison (Chuck Bower)

Vs. Richard, I took and got G'ed for the match. (His 6-6 off the tee didn't give me a warm fuzzy :(





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 138
9 point match
pip: 136
score: 2

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---BBdBBC----B-b-a-bbAb-bA:1:-1:-1:00:2:1:0:9:10
White on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 59.94% (G: 31.67% B: 1.08%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 40.06% (G: 9.51% B: 0.55%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 61.23% (G: 35.29% B: 3.42%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 38.77% (G: 10.29% B: 1.48%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.466
Redouble:+1.226
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.760 (-0.240)
Redouble/Take:+1.022 (+0.022)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.007 (+0.753...+0.767)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.013 (+1.010...+1.035)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 2 hours 07 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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