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Adjusted match equity

Posted By: Dimitar Draganov
Date: Tuesday, 16 November 2010, at 4:01 p.m.

In Response To: Adjusted match equity (Fabrice Liardet)

Well the info should be enough, that is the whole idea. Not only in gammon but many other sports you have intermediate score which you can qualify based on huge statistical data and on same time have some general ranking system for players or teams. What you say is definitely true since match winning chance formula based on ratings already accounts for match length. So indeed in new approximation points left in match may participate. What I want to offset right now is that when you get that player A is 60% favorite to win 13 point match against player B this already features some wins from 5:8 for example, so it seems incorrect to me that you retain your full favorite rating when you reach certain score and if this is true then when MET gives you 32% and you stared as 60% favorite my guess will be that your percentage used must be bit lower.

Messages In This Thread

• Adjusted match equity
  Dimitar Draganov -- Tuesday, 16 November 2010, at 1:30 p.m.
  • Adjusted match equity
    Fabrice Liardet -- Tuesday, 16 November 2010, at 3:34 p.m.
    • Adjusted match equity
      Dimitar Draganov -- Tuesday, 16 November 2010, at 4:01 p.m.
      • Adjusted match equity
        Fabrice Liardet -- Thursday, 18 November 2010, at 8:55 a.m.
  • Adjusted match equity
    Petter Bengtsson -- Tuesday, 16 November 2010, at 4:45 p.m.
    • Adjusted match equity
      higonefive -- Tuesday, 16 November 2010, at 5:00 p.m.
    • Adjusted match equity
      Gregg Cattanach -- Thursday, 18 November 2010, at 2:02 p.m.
      • Adjusted match equity
        Maik Stiebler -- Friday, 19 November 2010, at 11:16 p.m.
  • Adjusted match equity
    Rich Munitz -- Tuesday, 16 November 2010, at 6:05 p.m.
    • Adjusted match equity
      Dimitar Draganov -- Tuesday, 16 November 2010, at 7:13 p.m.
    • Adjusted match equity
      Fabrice Liardet -- Thursday, 18 November 2010, at 8:58 a.m.
  • Adjusted match equity
    Fabrice Liardet -- Thursday, 18 November 2010, at 2:52 p.m.