| * 1. | Rollout1 | 13/7 6/3 | eq: +0,025 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50,52% (G:10,73% B:0,42%)
49,48% (G:9,74% B:0,41%) | Conf: ± 0,010 (+0,015...+0,035)
Duration: 6 hours 02 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 8/2 6/3 | eq: +0,021 (-0,004) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50,63% (G:9,53% B:0,34%)
49,37% (G:9,79% B:0,41%) | Conf: ± 0,009 (+0,012...+0,030)
Duration: 5 hours 02 minutes |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 13/10 8/2 | eq: +0,016 (-0,009) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50,61% (G:9,08% B:0,33%)
49,39% (G:9,69% B:0,39%) | Conf: ± 0,009 (+0,007...+0,025)
Duration: 5 hours 18 minutes |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
The top three plays 13/7 6/3, 13/10 8/2 and 8/2 6/3 turned out to be TCTC in a 5K rollout. I am afraid I cannot extend it right now, but I rolled out a few variants in which Blue has made another home board point. Perhaps not surprisingly, leaving a shot with 13/7 6/3 would be inferior if Blue has made her five point (by -0,050 in a 1K rollout, the other two are even). With the three point made, the plays are TCTC in a 2K rollout (13/7 6/3 is third by -0,009).
13/7 6/3 happened to my play OTB too, but I am really glad now to have learned about the guideline on avoiding leaving a shot in mutual holding games. Thank you for all your comments.
