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Rollout

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Thursday, 9 December 2010, at 1:43 a.m.

In Response To: There's equity in here, somewhere (Chuck Bower)

Casper figured right on the wins vs. gammon losses tradeoff for the top two plays, but the RO slightly favors the safe play.





White is Professional

score: 9
pip: 107
unlimited session
pip: 142
score: 7

Blue is c_ray
XGID=-a--C-E-C-a--A-b-b-bBcbAb-:1:1:1:54:7:9:0:0:10
Blue to play 54

1.Rollout113/4eq: -0.476
Player:
Opponent:		 26.15% (G:3.97% B:0.17%)
73.85% (G:13.22% B:0.25%)		Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.480...-0.472)
Duration: 53 minutes 06 seconds
2.Rollout123/14eq: -0.488 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		 28.62% (G:4.43% B:0.16%)
71.38% (G:21.77% B:0.33%)		Conf: ± 0.005 (-0.493...-0.483)
Duration: 1 hour 02 minutes
3.Rollout123/18 13/9eq: -0.502 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		 27.21% (G:4.94% B:0.25%)
72.79% (G:19.95% B:0.30%)		Conf: ± 0.005 (-0.507...-0.497)
Duration: 59 minutes 01 second
4.Rollout113/9 6/1* eq: -0.538 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		 28.06% (G:6.04% B:0.27%)
71.94% (G:26.94% B:0.67%)		Conf: ± 0.006 (-0.544...-0.532)
Duration: 58 minutes 47 seconds
5.Rollout113/9 8/3eq: -0.565 (-0.089)
Player:
Opponent:		 27.48% (G:5.18% B:0.26%)
72.52% (G:26.54% B:0.70%)		Conf: ± 0.005 (-0.570...-0.560)
Duration: 55 minutes 06 seconds
6.Rollout113/8 6/2eq: -0.573 (-0.097)
Player:
Opponent:		 26.01% (G:4.54% B:0.21%)
73.99% (G:23.98% B:0.31%)		Conf: ± 0.005 (-0.578...-0.568)
Duration: 52 minutes 19 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 3246638
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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