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Five Mochy-Peever Rollout Results Posted

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Sunday, 12 December 2010, at 8:39 p.m.

In Response To: Peever-Mochy Meribel Quarterfinals (Paul Weaver)

is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 139
13 point match
pip: 113
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=aaBBBBBA-A--A---cbbccA--A-:0:0:1:00:0:2:0:13:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 62.59% (G: 32.06% B: 0.81%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 37.41% (G: 6.21% B: 0.28%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 62.24% (G: 33.05% B: 0.78%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 37.76% (G: 6.34% B: 0.26%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.517
Double:+1.086
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.711 (-0.071)
Double/Take:+0.782
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.218)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.021 (+0.689...+0.732)
Confidence Double: ± 0.031 (+0.751...+0.813)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 31 minutes 51 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
is Player 2

score: 4
pip: 124
13 point match
pip: 149
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=--B-B-CB---bbB-b-BbcbbAA--:0:0:-1:00:0:4:0:13:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 71.38% (G: 24.52% B: 0.94%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 28.62% (G: 5.77% B: 0.19%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 71.28% (G: 26.96% B: 0.97%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 28.72% (G: 5.99% B: 0.21%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.627
Double:+1.269
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.835 (-0.097)
Double/Take:+0.931
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.069)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.017 (+0.818...+0.852)
Confidence Double: ± 0.027 (+0.904...+0.958)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 41 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
is Player 2

score: 6
pip: 151
13 point match
pip: 152
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-aa--BD-B---dF---c-d---bA-:0:0:1:00:0:6:0:13:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 59.70% (G: 15.49% B: 0.65%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 40.30% (G: 10.24% B: 0.31%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.245
Double:+0.563
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.509
Double/Take:+0.483 (-0.026)
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.491)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
is Player 2

score: 8
pip: 184
13 point match
pip: 155
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=ab---AD-D--AdCa--c-dA---A-:0:0:1:00:0:8:0:13:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 65.23% (G: 25.08% B: 2.41%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 34.77% (G: 6.43% B: 0.26%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 64.93% (G: 24.92% B: 2.42%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 35.07% (G: 6.59% B: 0.28%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.502
Double:+1.132
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.927 (-0.073)
Double/Take:+1.096 (+0.096)
Double/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 76
Moves: 3 ply, cube decisions: 1 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.003 (+0.924...+0.930)
Confidence Double: ± 0.005 (+1.091...+1.101)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 53 minutes 47 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

The position below arose when the score was 1-0, but I rolled it out for money.

is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 72
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 81
score: 0

is Player 2
XGID=-B--CDD---A--A-----dfcb---:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 80.00% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 20.00% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 79.97% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 20.03% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.600
Double:+1.199
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.884 (-0.116)
Double/Take:+1.075 (+0.075)
Double/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 76
Moves: 3 ply, cube decisions: 1 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.001 (+0.883...+0.885)
Confidence Double: ± 0.001 (+1.074...+1.076)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 29.4 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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