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BGonline.org Forums
Responding to Stick
Posted By: Paul Weaver In Response To: Five Mochy-Peever Rollout Results Posted (Stick)
Date: Monday, 13 December 2010, at 12:32 a.m.
I did not take the racing position (the first one shown below). I passed it. I mentioned that the score at which the racing position arose was 1-0. I also showed another position from the same match at which the score was 2-0. This would have been enough info for some people to conclude that I passed the racing position.
Just for the helluvit, I rolled out a few racing positions and I am posting the rollout results below. When I showed these positions to someone, he commented that White has different crossover counts in these posted positions.
For many years, I have been struggling in my attempt to grasp the concepts of crossovers and crossover count. I recently asked someone to please explain these terms and he told me that Stick gave the following defintion: "By crossover count, I mean the number of times I have gone out in public in women's clothing during the current month." Did he quote you accurately?
is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 72Money session
Jacoby Beaverpip: 81
score: 0
is Player 2
XGID=-B--CDD---A--A-----dfcb---:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10 on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No Double Player Winning Chances: 80.00% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) Opponent Winning Chances: 20.00% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 79.97% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) Opponent Winning Chances: 20.03% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) Cubeless Equities No Double: +0.600 Double: +1.199 Cubeful Equities No Double: +0.884 (-0.116) Double/Take: +1.075 (+0.075) Double/Drop: +1.000 Best Cube action: Double / Drop Rollout details 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 76
Moves: 3 ply, cube decisions: 1 plyConfidence No Double: ± 0.001 (+0.883...+0.885) Confidence Double: ± 0.001 (+1.074...+1.076) Double Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 29.4 seconds eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21
is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 72Money session
Jacoby Beaverpip: 80
score: 0
is Player 2
XGID=-B--CDD---A-A------dfcb---:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10 on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No Double Player Winning Chances: 78.04% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) Opponent Winning Chances: 21.96% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 78.04% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) Opponent Winning Chances: 21.96% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) Cubeless Equities No Double: +0.561 Double: +1.122 Cubeful Equities No Double: +0.847 (-0.145) Double/Take: +0.992 Double/Drop: +1.000 (+0.008) Best Cube action: Double / Take Rollout details 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 plyConfidence No Double: ± 0.003 (+0.844...+0.850) Confidence Double: ± 0.004 (+0.988...+0.996) Double Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 4 minutes 31 seconds eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21
is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 72Money session
Jacoby Beaverpip: 80
score: 0
is Player 2
XGID=-B--CDD--A---A-----dfcb---:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10 on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No Double Player Winning Chances: 78.24% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) Opponent Winning Chances: 21.76% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 78.25% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) Opponent Winning Chances: 21.75% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) Cubeless Equities No Double: +0.565 Double: +1.130 Cubeful Equities No Double: +0.850 (-0.147) Double/Take: +0.997 Double/Drop: +1.000 (+0.003) Best Cube action: Double / Take Rollout details 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 plyConfidence No Double: ± 0.003 (+0.847...+0.852) Confidence Double: ± 0.004 (+0.993...+1.001) Double Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 93.8% Duration: 1 minute 46 seconds eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21
is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 72Money session
Jacoby Beaverpip: 81
score: 0
is Player 2
XGID=----CEF-A----------dfcb---:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10 on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No Double Player Winning Chances: 77.20% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) Opponent Winning Chances: 22.80% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 77.15% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) Opponent Winning Chances: 22.85% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) Cubeless Equities No Double: +0.544 Double: +1.086 Cubeful Equities No Double: +0.828 (-0.120) Double/Take: +0.948 Double/Drop: +1.000 (+0.052) Best Cube action: Double / Take Rollout details 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 plyConfidence No Double: ± 0.002 (+0.826...+0.831) Confidence Double: ± 0.004 (+0.945...+0.952) Double Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 3 minutes 21 seconds eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21
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