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Estimating winning percentage from MWC errors

Posted By: sandokan
Date: Saturday, 18 December 2010, at 8:02 p.m.

In Response To: Estimating winning percentage from MWC errors (Timothy Chow)

If you play 1000 matches you win 500 and lose 500. Now you play 500 winning matches on a board and 500 losing matches on another board. If you make an error of 10% MWC in all 1000 matches you win 450 matches on the first board and 0 on the second board (those 500 matches are already lost).

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