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Estimating winning percentage from MWC errors

Posted By: Maik Stiebler
Date: Monday, 20 December 2010, at 7:25 p.m.

In Response To: Estimating winning percentage from MWC errors (Stick)

1. You're right, until now I didn't appreciate the competence and authority speaking from your earlier post enough.

2. "Just because my MWC go below 10% doesn't mean a play won't arise that I can easily piss away 10% MWC on." Correct, but that doesn't contradict what I was writing. Once you're below 10% MWC against a perfect opponent, you need more than averagely lucky rolls to be able to piss away 10% MWC, and that doesn't always happen, though it can. "There's always the chance that 'later' I won't have the chance to piss away 10% MWC regardless of what my current MWC are." Correct, but it is in your hands to piss away 10% or more now (or later, under the right circumstances), if your MWC is larger than 10% (throw a few games or the whole match, if you must). Once MWC is below 10%, it's not in your hands anymore, you need your wrist as well.

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