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Hitting is bad

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 31 January 2011, at 3:44 a.m.

In Response To: How to play this? (Timothy Chow)


1O1O ' ' '5X '4X ' ' '4O

1X ' ' '1X5O '3O1O ' '4X

41S-54S-42



1O ' ' ' '5X1O4X ' ' '4O

1X ' ' '1X5O '3O ' '1O4X

62S-54S-42


A couple of examples (sticking with the same roll of 42) off the top of my head are diagrammed above. In the left-hand position (41S-54S-42), making the 4pt is the standout play, covering the 9pt is second best and a near blunder. Hitting (typically executed by experts in such positions three or four decades ago in such positions) is a definite blunder.

As I recall, in the right-hand position (62S-54S-42), anchoring is best, making the 4pt second best, making the 11pt is third best (with 18/14 13/11) or fifth best (with 24/20 13/11), and making the 9pt is fourth best. Hitting is sixth best and a whopper.

Nack

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