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Rollout

Posted By: Neil Robins
Date: Wednesday, 23 February 2011, at 9:44 a.m.

In Response To: 3a6a backgame cube decision (neilkaz)

Playing on and not giving the opponent a decision to make doesn't seem right here.





White is Player 2

score: 5
pip: 179
11 point match
pip: 43
score: 8

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-EcBbDBa---------abc-b-a--:0:0:1:00:8:5:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 68.98% (G: 59.11% B: 5.02%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 31.02% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 68.44% (G: 58.92% B: 19.85%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 31.56% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+1.141
Double:+1.727
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.987 (-0.013)
Double/Take:+1.136 (+0.136)
Double/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 31247
Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.006 (+0.980...+0.993)
Confidence Double: ± 0.011 (+1.125...+1.147)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 13 hours 06 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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