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How much is being on roll worth? -- Rollout

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Wednesday, 2 March 2011, at 4:02 p.m.

In Response To: How much is being on roll worth? (Chuck Bower)

		White is Player 2 score: 1 pip: 180 7 point match pip: 195 score: 3 Blue is Player 1
XGID=--bdBBB-B-----Aa--AbbbbCB-:1:-1:-1:00:3:1:0:7:10
White on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	52.46% (G: 27.46% B: 7.34%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	47.54% (G: 19.15% B: 5.05%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	52.33% (G: 26.10% B: 11.28%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	47.67% (G: 20.72% B: 3.65%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:	+0.264
Redouble:	+0.574
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:	+0.539 (-0.035)
Redouble/Take:	+0.574
Redouble/Drop:	+1.000 (+0.426)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 3246638 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble:	± 0.032 (+0.507...+0.571)
Confidence Redouble:	± 0.040 (+0.534...+0.615)
Double Decision confidence:	90.9%
Take Decision confidence:	100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 26 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Messages In This Thread

• Recube position from doubles finals
  Adam Versaw -- Monday, 21 February 2011, at 10:50 a.m.
  • Recube position from doubles finals
    Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 21 February 2011, at 12:35 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Adam Versaw -- Tuesday, 22 February 2011, at 2:58 p.m.
  • How much is being on roll worth?
    Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 27 February 2011, at 6:12 p.m.
    • How much is being on roll worth? -- Rollout
      Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 2 March 2011, at 4:02 p.m.