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Alternate position and its Rollout

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Thursday, 3 March 2011, at 7:01 p.m.

In Response To: Late game decision (Chuck Bower)

After the game my opponent questioned whether he should have left a checker in his outfield the roll before my original posted position. He had a 4-4 to play. My alternate position was chosen because this is a possible alternate to his (completed) 4-4 roll. Note the change in Blue's 'best' play.





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 78
5 point match
pip: 84
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--CBC-C-Bb---B----abbb-cc-:1:1:1:35:4:1:0:5:10
Blue to play 35

1.Rollout18/5 8/3eq: +0.055
Player:
Opponent:
53.41% (G:1.20% B:0.03%)
46.59% (G:0.64% B:0.03%)
Conf: ± 0.003 (+0.052...+0.058)
Duration: 1 minute 27 seconds
2.Rollout16/1 4/1eq: +0.044 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:
52.48% (G:1.18% B:0.01%)
47.52% (G:0.25% B:0.00%)
Conf: ± 0.003 (+0.041...+0.047)
Duration: 1 minute 41 seconds
3.Rollout18/3 4/1eq: +0.026 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:
52.23% (G:0.94% B:0.01%)
47.77% (G:0.88% B:0.08%)
Conf: ± 0.003 (+0.023...+0.029)
Duration: 1 minute 01 second
4.Rollout18/5 6/1eq: +0.026 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:
52.11% (G:0.91% B:0.01%)
47.89% (G:0.79% B:0.03%)
Conf: ± 0.002 (+0.024...+0.028)
Duration: 53.8 seconds
5.Rollout18/3 6/3eq: +0.014 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:
51.16% (G:0.71% B:0.01%)
48.84% (G:0.42% B:0.01%)
Conf: ± 0.003 (+0.011...+0.017)
Duration: 1 minute 21 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 3246638
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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