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BGonline.org Forums
Cube action?
Posted By: Chuck Bower In Response To: Cube action? (John O'Hagan)
Date: Tuesday, 8 March 2011, at 4:33 p.m.
Giving Brown a 1/5 gammon win fraction and Beige ~1/3 gammon win fraction, I calculate Brown's takepoint at ~28% cubeless game winning chances (cgwc).
If this were a money game, winning 28% with these gammon fractions corresponds to a cubeless equity of ~0.64 which would be a pretty clear pass. (Takeable at around 0.58-0.60?)
The last part of the puzzle is to ask oneself how big of a pass this would be at $-play. Bigger than single whopper to take at that form of competition? I think so, but far from sure.
D+P.
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