Another candidate is in the running -- 21/18(2), 13/7. I also RO'ed 8/2(2), which got a vote. (I didn't know how to include TWO plays which didn't make the top 37 in a single analysis. :( After 1296 trials it was at -0.407 equity with 32.3% wins.
| 1. | Rollout1 | 21/18(2) 13/7 | eq: -0.287 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 35.57% (G:5.74% B:0.28%)
64.43% (G:19.97% B:1.22%) | Conf: ± 0.014 (-0.301...-0.273)
Duration: 22 minutes 56 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 21/18(2) 13/10 7/4 | eq: -0.291 (-0.004) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 35.62% (G:6.29% B:0.23%)
64.38% (G:20.12% B:1.28%) | Conf: ± 0.014 (-0.305...-0.277)
Duration: 28 minutes 12 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 13/4 7/4 | eq: -0.296 (-0.009) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 35.54% (G:5.40% B:0.21%)
64.46% (G:19.38% B:1.50%) | Conf: ± 0.013 (-0.309...-0.283)
Duration: 24 minutes 57 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | 13/10(2) 13/7 | eq: -0.320 (-0.033) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 34.86% (G:5.03% B:0.20%)
65.14% (G:19.82% B:1.58%) | Conf: ± 0.021 (-0.341...-0.299)
Duration: 9 minutes 35 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout2 | 24/18(2) | eq: -0.335 (-0.048) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 31.81% (G:4.15% B:0.14%)
68.19% (G:12.56% B:0.24%) | Conf: ± 0.014 (-0.349...-0.321)
Duration: 18 minutes 05 seconds |
|
| 6. | Rollout2 | 24/18 21/18(2) | eq: -0.404 (-0.117) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 32.08% (G:5.16% B:0.22%)
67.92% (G:23.09% B:0.42%) | Conf: ± 0.019 (-0.423...-0.385)
Duration: 17 minutes 37 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 3246638
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
2 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 3246638
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
