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BGonline.org Forums
Daily Quiz 3/23/11 - Falafel Edition
Posted By: Chuck Bower In Response To: Daily Quiz 3/23/11 - Falafel Edition (Stick)
Date: Thursday, 24 March 2011, at 8:36 p.m.
Number 1 This looks like something you posted a few days ago, but now Brown's homeside position is stronger and Beige's distribution isn't as good. That was D+P. I'll go with D+T.
Number 2 At first I was going to cover the 21-point and jump into the outfield, but I think Brown's position is a sufficient mess to give the green light to 25/20, 13/9.
Number 3 Safe play is pretty ugly. Hitting wins more gammons. Beige could savor a gammon. 11/2*.
Number 4 Doubling window opens around 33%. Hitting looks like an ML. Beige has a lot of ways to win this. Add 'em up and I think you beat 33. Takepoint is ballpark 60% (Beige's PoV). I don't think it's nearly that good. D+T.
Number 5 Do you post these types just to aggravate me? After the hit, 3's and 6's won't enter and won't return hit, so Brown is not in immediate grave danger after that play. However, good chance to profitably unstack the 6-point. 5(2).
Number 6 Take looks pretty clear through my spectacles, but how bad could doubling be? Guess I'll find out. D+T.
Number 7 About every other quiz you post a problem that I wouldn't have thought would be close (but then you wouldn't have posted it). If Brown doesn't run now, what a mess his board becomes. How likely is he to get a better chance than this to take advantage of his race lead? Not a classic FRAM slam (getting missed doesn't cinch it) but... 18/8.
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