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Gammon Go decision -- ROLLOUT

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Saturday, 9 April 2011, at 2:56 p.m.

In Response To: Gammon Go decision (Chuck Bower)

It always puzzles me why some positions get lots of responses and others almost none. (Thankfully there seems to be no correlation with just my positions, or I'd become paranoid. :) I guess it's obvious to some while others are completely baffled. Anyway...

This position actually came up at 3-away Crawford (effective DMP) but it looked more interesting at GG. (At -3C, the slotting play was reasonably close, by my standards, but not best.)





White is Player 2

score: 4
pip: 125
5 point match
Crawford
pip: 107
score: 3

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bBBB-C-C--Ab----bBbbba-b-:0:0:1:53:3:4:1:5:10
Blue to play 53

1.Rollout111/6 8/5eq: +0.596
Player:
Opponent:
61.91% (G:17.90% B:2.38%)
38.09% (G:9.44% B:0.15%)
Conf: ± 0.007 (+0.589...+0.603)
Duration: 19 minutes 05 seconds
2.Rollout111/3eq: +0.579 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:
63.86% (G:15.10% B:1.60%)
36.14% (G:7.57% B:0.20%)
Conf: ± 0.006 (+0.573...+0.585)
Duration: 16 minutes 05 seconds
3.Rollout28/5 8/3eq: +0.550 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:
60.49% (G:17.01% B:2.57%)
39.51% (G:16.88% B:0.76%)
Conf: ± 0.012 (+0.538...+0.562)
Duration: 5 minutes 40 seconds
4.Rollout28/3 6/3eq: +0.508 (-0.088)
Player:
Opponent:
61.40% (G:14.01% B:1.52%)
38.60% (G:8.32% B:0.26%)
Conf: ± 0.010 (+0.498...+0.518)
Duration: 4 minutes 45 seconds
5.Rollout218/15 18/13eq: +0.296 (-0.300)
Player:
Opponent:
51.74% (G:13.07% B:2.41%)
48.26% (G:21.53% B:0.63%)
Conf: ± 0.011 (+0.285...+0.307)
Duration: 7 minutes 47 seconds
6.Rollout318/10eq: +0.254 (-0.342)
Player:
Opponent:
49.05% (G:13.68% B:2.73%)
50.95% (G:20.20% B:0.55%)
Conf: ± 0.010 (+0.244...+0.264)
Duration: 9 minutes 04 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 65811017
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

2 984 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 65811017
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 65811017
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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