BGonline.org Forums

Rollout

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Friday, 15 April 2011, at 10:21 p.m.

In Response To: Match to 5, 3-4 backgame, juicy shot, cube action? (ah_clem)

Looks like I now have my next "play from here" position.

		White is Player 2 score: 1 pip: 92 5 point match pip: 133 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BBBBBA--------be-daBBba-:0:0:1:00:0:1:0:5:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	60.77% (G: 18.86% B: 0.42%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	39.23% (G: 5.14% B: 0.21%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	61.52% (G: 19.44% B: 0.41%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	38.48% (G: 6.29% B: 0.40%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:	+0.334
Double:	+0.756
Cubeful Equities
No Double:	+0.275 (-0.184)
Double/Take:	+0.459
Double/Drop:	+1.000 (+0.541)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 3246638 Moves: 3 ply, cube decisions: 4 ply
Confidence No Double:	± 0.017 (+0.258...+0.292)
Confidence Double:	± 0.030 (+0.430...+0.489)
Double Decision confidence:	100.0%
Take Decision confidence:	100.0%
Duration: 47 minutes 14 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Messages In This Thread

• Match to 5, 3-4 backgame, juicy shot, cube action?
  ah_clem -- Tuesday, 12 April 2011, at 1:37 p.m.
  • Match to 5, 3-4 backgame, juicy shot, cube action?
    Turz -- Tuesday, 12 April 2011, at 3:45 p.m.
  • Match to 5, 3-4 backgame, juicy shot, cube action?
    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 12 April 2011, at 6:23 p.m.
    • Some bot content
      Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 13 April 2011, at 3:00 p.m.
      • Some bot content
        Stick -- Wednesday, 13 April 2011, at 3:55 p.m.
        • Some bot content
          Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 13 April 2011, at 5:14 p.m.
          • Some bot content
            Stick -- Wednesday, 13 April 2011, at 6:22 p.m.
            • Some bot content
              Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 13 April 2011, at 9:27 p.m.
      • Some RO content
        neilkaz -- Wednesday, 13 April 2011, at 7:48 p.m.
        • RO of variant
          Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 14 April 2011, at 5:04 p.m.
          • RO of variant
            neilkaz -- Thursday, 14 April 2011, at 6:10 p.m.
        • Some RO content
          ah_clem -- Thursday, 14 April 2011, at 6:11 p.m.
  • Match to 5, 3-4 backgame, juicy shot, cube action?
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 12 April 2011, at 6:36 p.m.
  • Match to 5, 3-4 backgame, juicy shot, cube action?
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 12 April 2011, at 6:56 p.m.
  • Match to 5, 3-4 backgame, juicy shot, cube action?
    ah_clem -- Tuesday, 12 April 2011, at 7:24 p.m.
    • Match to 5, 3-4 backgame, juicy shot, cube action?
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 14 April 2011, at 6:11 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Chuck Bower -- Friday, 15 April 2011, at 10:21 p.m.