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Rollout

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Thursday, 12 May 2011, at 11:37 p.m.

In Response To: Beware if you think you recognize this... (Chuck Bower)

Original unlimited/$ game rollout is found in Phil's daily position from a couple days ago, here: http://www.thebackgammonlearningcenter.com/wp/daily-position/

I wondered if much of the equity was due to both cube access and gammons. Answer is, "nope". BTW, 24/22, 3/2 wins ~37-38% according to XG mini-rollout. I cut that before the full rollout.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 119
1 point match
pip: 106
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-CBCBbB--B------bccb-bA-:0:0:1:21:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 21

1.Rollout15/4 3/1* eq: -0.122
Player:
Opponent:		 43.88% (G:15.99% B:0.69%)
56.12% (G:17.35% B:1.34%)		Conf: ± 0.007 (-0.129...-0.115)
Duration: 12 minutes 12 seconds
2.Rollout124/22 5/4eq: -0.168 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:		 41.59% (G:16.00% B:2.14%)
58.41% (G:12.12% B:0.66%)		Conf: ± 0.006 (-0.174...-0.162)
Duration: 12 minutes 12 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 3246638
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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