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My 3-1 Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 18 December 2006, at 6:14 p.m.

In Response To: Moves leading up to today's OLM (Stick)

I didn't think the difference in plays was that big but I'm glad I made the correct play! The hit is more gammonish (losses) than I would have gueessed. It reverts back to you pounding away at my blot w/your anchor trying to unstack your position. Also in the ensuing hitting contest you may pick up the second blot I have yet to cover in my inner board.


Match to 25, White leads 6 to 2
127
134
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 6/2 0.225
0.3% 10.4% 57.8% 42.2% 9.2% 0.3%
Live cube rollout: 0.281
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.169 ±0.019, - live cube: 0.281 ±0.034. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 324 games (equiv. 17822 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, random seed, with race database.
2 R 13/9* 0.098 (-0.128)
0.5% 14.1% 55.6% 44.4% 16.5% 0.3%
Live cube rollout: 0.151
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.089 ±0.021, - live cube: 0.151 ±0.038. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 324 games (equiv. 16331 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, random seed, with race database.

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