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Daily Quiz 5/31 - Bitchfest

Posted By: Bill Calton
Date: Tuesday, 31 May 2011, at 9:38 p.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 5/31 - Bitchfest (Stick)

1. From white’s perspective. I am slightly down in the race, Blue has 8’s and 9’s to hit, I have the worse board, and I am sitting on the ace point open to a few more G's. On the other hand, the game is young and White has the better priming potential. Overall, I don’t feel like a favorite in this game. Let’s use the free drop here as White and hope for a better start next time. Double / Drop.

2. Double hit is wrong. I might make the mirror image play by default, unless I remembered my notes. The correct play is two down, 13/8, 13/11 (don't split when the 8 point is heavy).

3. Using Keith Count. 42 adjusted count for Blue compared to 42 for White implies Redouble / Drop.

Maybe Trice Pips vs rolls is more appropriate here. Blue has 11 checkers so can gap one time and still get off in 6 rolls. I note most doubles take off only 3 checkers, but again blue is odd so perhaps this is OK. Let’s say Blue has 6 rolls, would be EPC 43. White’s position looks pretty good, let’s give him wastage of 6 (no idea really, pulled out of thin air) for EPC of 48. I believe White would need to be within 3 pips to take per Trice’s rule, would imply Redouble / Drop.

What about Trice Pips vs pips? I think blue gets adjusted Ward count of 35 (30 + 2 ace stack + 4 for two less checkers off – 1 for one less gap) and white stays with count of 42. Point of last take would be 4 pips behind, implies redouble / drop.

If it’s a close call for money, White’s takepoint with the lead on a recube should be a bit higher than money.

All signs seem to point to dropping this one. I’ll say redouble / drop.

4. White has nothing going for him here. The race is hopeless, he’s stuck on the ace-point and he has a bullshit board. Even if White make’s the 5 point anchor, so what? It’s too late for that. And if he hits a shot now, so what? That board is shit. On top of all this, Blue has 10 numbers to point on white’s head on the 5-point. The only thing white has going for him is that’s Blue’s spares on the 3 and 4 point are less then ideal. All in all, it would be a shame to double and let white drop this. I say Blue is too good to double. No Double / Drop.

5. I make the normal reply here, 13/7*.

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