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cube position

Posted By: Dmitriy Obukhov
Date: Tuesday, 31 May 2011, at 11:58 p.m.

In Response To: cube position (steve)

Drop: 6a3a =29%

Take and lose: 6a2a =20%

Take and win: 4a4a =50%

9/[50-20] = .3 or 30% is your basic take point.

Doublers Gammon Price on the 2 cube is 20/30 = .67

Takers Gammon Price on the 2 cube is 17/30 = .57

Now you need add [8*.67-2.5*.57] = 3.8 to your take point to account for gammons. This raises take point to 33.8%

White can take much lower than this due to his cube ownership. Cube ownership will be huge if he throws 6x, runs, and missed. This happens quite often, but not often enough to bring takepoint from 33 to 25.

Someone said this is an easy take for money. I don't see it this way. Maybe a take, but definetly not an easy one.

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