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BGonline.org Forums
Daily Quiz 6/6
Posted By: Lucas Bauer In Response To: Daily Quiz 6/6 (Stick)
Date: Tuesday, 7 June 2011, at 6:17 p.m.
1. 4/1 2/1. No bad rolls next roll. Making the 2 point seems wrong, because I doubt we win double the gammons to the extra losses we give up. Pick and pass looks worse.
2. 6/4(2) 2/off(2)
3. 24/20*, could be wrong though because of all the return shots from the bar. This does 2 good things (gains in the race and prevents blue from making the 5 point), where making our own 5 only does 1 good thing and leaves 2 indirects anyway.
4. Race lead, better board, threats. Double for sure. 22% take point, gammon price of about .57, with gammon value of only .36. Ill estimate 35% wins for white, with 22% gammon losses, 7% gammon wins. So thats about 24%. Double/Take.
5. Looks like a ton of market losers, and Im not sure about the take, so Double. I count 20 numbers that leave a direct shot, so (.56)(.31) is 17%, plus indirects from 51 and 51, (.11)(.14) is only about 1.5%. 18.5% so far; we probably need another 4% or 5% to take from later shots. Maybe just enough. Double/Take.
5.
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