I confess I repeated the same mistake of the previous thread. I played 8/4 here, and I confess I still have troubles to understand why it is such a big error.
Should I have gone through all the possible rolls after 8/4, after 16/15 7/4 and after 16/13 7/6? Any advice on how to do that OTB? What would I conclude?
| 1. | Rollout1 | 16/15 7/4 | eq: +0,309 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 53,01% (G:15,47% B:0,18%)
46,99% (G:7,98% B:0,59%) | Conf: ± 0,006 (+0,303...+0,315)
Duration: 8 minutes 12 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 16/13 7/6 | eq: +0,263 (-0,046) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 52,88% (G:13,05% B:0,19%)
47,12% (G:5,37% B:0,28%) | Conf: ± 0,006 (+0,257...+0,269)
Duration: 8 minutes 41 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 21/20 7/4 | eq: +0,258 (-0,051) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 52,41% (G:14,57% B:0,18%)
47,59% (G:7,14% B:0,48%) | Conf: ± 0,006 (+0,252...+0,264)
Duration: 8 minutes 46 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | 7/4 5/4 | eq: +0,234 (-0,076) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 52,42% (G:13,79% B:0,17%)
47,58% (G:6,07% B:0,45%) | Conf: ± 0,008 (+0,226...+0,242)
Duration: 4 minutes 09 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout2 | 21/20 16/13 | eq: +0,223 (-0,086) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 51,97% (G:12,78% B:0,18%)
48,03% (G:5,89% B:0,27%) | Conf: ± 0,008 (+0,215...+0,231)
Duration: 4 minutes 41 seconds |
|
| 6. | Rollout2 | 8/4 | eq: +0,222 (-0,088) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 52,14% (G:13,91% B:0,19%)
47,86% (G:6,39% B:0,52%) | Conf: ± 0,008 (+0,214...+0,230)
Duration: 3 minutes 49 seconds |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3 ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3 ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
