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3rd roll: 31P 51S 61: ?

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Thursday, 12 July 2007, at 6:12 p.m.

In Response To: 3rd roll: 31P 51S 61: ? (Stick)

Right. This made sense to me at the time, somehow. Probably because I knew all the third moves started with 31, so I just assumed that as soon as I clicked on "third move". Anyway, here's the rollout.

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0

Move number 5: Blue to play 61

White162


2O ' ' ' '5X '3X1X ' '5O

1X1X ' '2O4O '2O ' ' '4X

Blue163

Position ID: 4HPhASiwZ/ABMA Match ID: cAkHAAAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 24/18 6/5 +0.2289
0.55460.14990.0064-0.44540.11930.0048 +0.1413 +0.2289
0.00080.00100.0002-0.00080.00080.0002 0.0020 0.0057
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1069105735 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 8/2*/1* +0.1922 ( -0.0367)
0.53470.20500.0092-0.46530.13230.0073 +0.1438 +0.1922
0.00090.00100.0003-0.00090.00090.0004 0.0026 0.0071
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1069105735 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 2 24/23 24/18 +0.1587 ( -0.0484)
0.5492 0.1493 0.0067 - 0.4508 0.1323 0.0036
4 2 13/7 8/7 +0.1465 ( -0.0606)
0.5363 0.1744 0.0079 - 0.4637 0.1305 0.0058
5 2 13/6 +0.1335 ( -0.0736)
0.5348 0.1687 0.0070 - 0.4652 0.1344 0.0052

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