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Daily Quiz 2/14: XGR+ evals

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Friday, 17 February 2012, at 3:32 p.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 2/14 (Daily Quiz)





White is Player 2

score: 4
pip: 138
11 point match
pip: 125
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-BBaCBB---cC---b-cc-b-A-:0:0:1:00:0:4:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 66.16% (G: 24.03% B: 0.78%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 33.84% (G: 8.63% B: 0.41%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.476
Double:+1.021
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.708 (-0.213)
Double/Take:+0.921
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.079)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 61
11 point match
pip: 52
score: 4

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-BCBABD----------a-ccbbbb-:1:1:1:00:4:0:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 81.84% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 18.16% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 81.77% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 18.23% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.637
Redouble:+1.204
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.887 (-0.095)
Redouble/Take:+0.982
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.018)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
324 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.005 (+0.883...+0.892)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.006 (+0.976...+0.989)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 1 minute 28 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
White is Player 2

score: 10
pip: 150
11 point match
Crawford
pip: 126
score: 1

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bB---DDA---bB--bcBe-a----:0:0:1:53:1:10:1:11:10
Blue to play 53

1.XG Roller+8/3 6/3eq: +0.520
Player:
Opponent:		 66.82% (G:16.08% B:1.06%)
33.18% (G:7.58% B:0.28%)
2.XG Roller+13/10 13/8eq: +0.487 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		 65.06% (G:16.29% B:0.99%)
34.94% (G:7.60% B:0.31%)
3.XG Roller+18/15 18/13eq: +0.474 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:		 65.30% (G:14.73% B:1.09%)
34.70% (G:8.07% B:0.34%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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