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21S-41K-31-53

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Sunday, 8 April 2012, at 12:12 a.m.

In Response To: 21S-41K-31-53 (Nack Ballard)

The fourth roll play (of the original fifth-roll game sequence) was U (Up, bar/20 24/21). According to the rollout result below, E (Each, bar/20 6/3*) is .013 better. [There are also three weaker plays rolled out: S = Split (bar/20 13/10), Z = reverse split (bar/22 13/8) and C (Cross, bar/22 8/3*). Explanation of nacbracs.]

[E U13 S26 Z33 C34] "<=15*5

Rollout details follow.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 163 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 186 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-a--D-C---dEa--c-e----BA:0:0:1:35:0:0:3:0:10
21S-41K-31-53




1.	Rollout1	Bar/20 6/3*	eq: -0.278
	Player: Opponent: 44.62% (G:10.57% B:0.49%) 55.38% (G:18.93% B:1.37%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.284...-0.272) - [99.9%] Duration: 6 hours 56 minutes
2.	Rollout1	Bar/20 24/21	eq: -0.291 (-0.013)
	Player: Opponent: 43.79% (G:10.83% B:0.54%) 56.21% (G:18.08% B:0.97%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.296...-0.286) - [0.1%] Duration: 5 hours 48 minutes
3.	Rollout2	Bar/20 13/10	eq: -0.304 (-0.026)
	Player: Opponent: 43.80% (G:10.91% B:0.50%) 56.20% (G:18.62% B:1.35%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.314...-0.294) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 58 minutes
4.	Rollout2	Bar/22 13/8	eq: -0.311 (-0.033)
	Player: Opponent: 43.04% (G:10.68% B:0.43%) 56.96% (G:17.36% B:1.04%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.319...-0.302) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 50 minutes
5.	Rollout2	Bar/22 8/3*	eq: -0.312 (-0.034)
	Player: Opponent: 43.78% (G:10.93% B:0.49%) 56.22% (G:19.04% B:1.31%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.321...-0.303) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 hours 11 minutes
1 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 37735296 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 37735296 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

Nack

Messages In This Thread

• BQ: Hit one or two with this 66
  leobueno -- Thursday, 5 April 2012, at 10:41 p.m.
  • BQ: Hit one or two with this 66
    Stick -- Thursday, 5 April 2012, at 10:51 p.m.
  • BQ: Hit one or two with this 66
    Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 6 April 2012, at 12:23 a.m.
  • 21S-41K-31-53U-66
    Nack Ballard -- Friday, 6 April 2012, at 3:31 a.m.
  • 21S-41K-31-53
    Nack Ballard -- Friday, 6 April 2012, at 3:41 a.m.
    • 21S-41K-31-53
      Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 8 April 2012, at 12:12 a.m.
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    Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 22 August 2013, at 8:11 a.m.
  • 21S-41K-31-53U-66 — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG2 Rollout
    Taper_Mike -- Friday, 18 October 2013, at 9:02 a.m.