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Daily Quiz 4/6: XGR+ evals

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Saturday, 14 April 2012, at 6:50 p.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 4/6 (Daily Quiz)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 156 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 146 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=----b-EBB--AeC---bBdaa----:0:0:1:64:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 64

1.	XG Roller+	18/8	eq: +0.266
	Player: Opponent: 57.94% (G:9.83% B:0.38%) 42.06% (G:8.74% B:0.20%)
2.	XG Roller+	13/7 11/7	eq: +0.249 (-0.016)
	Player: Opponent: 58.23% (G:6.83% B:0.17%) 41.77% (G:6.79% B:0.20%)
3.	XG Roller+	13/7 6/2	eq: +0.243 (-0.023)
	Player: Opponent: 57.87% (G:8.21% B:0.27%) 42.13% (G:7.23% B:0.24%)
4.	XG Roller+	13/3	eq: +0.229 (-0.036)
	Player: Opponent: 57.60% (G:7.62% B:0.23%) 42.40% (G:7.17% B:0.22%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

---

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 171 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 152 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aabBBD---AAcC---b-b-baa-B:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances:	59.95% (G: 29.52% B: 3.10%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	40.05% (G: 10.50% B: 0.83%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:	+0.199
Double:	+0.813
Cubeful Equities
No Double:	+0.602
Double/Take:	+0.535 (-0.067)
Double/Drop:	+1.000 (+0.398)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

Variant:

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 172 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 152 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-abaBBD---AAcC---b-b-baa-B:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances:	61.62% (G: 31.33% B: 3.91%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	38.38% (G: 9.96% B: 0.77%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:	+0.232
Double:	+0.956
Cubeful Equities
No Double:	+0.662 (-0.025)
Double/Take:	+0.688
Double/Drop:	+1.000 (+0.312)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

---

Assuming we hit, apparently giving White good 6's from the bar outweighs leaving the benefits of leaving the back of our prime slotted. Also the 6pt spare is better for blitzing.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 131 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 162 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---aB-BBBA--bC--acbfB---A-:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 43

1.	XG Roller+	24/21 13/9	eq: +0.321
	Player: Opponent: 60.61% (G:11.45% B:0.41%) 39.39% (G:10.99% B:0.40%)
2.	XG Roller+	20/16* 9/6	eq: +0.305 (-0.017)
	Player: Opponent: 58.35% (G:16.57% B:0.74%) 41.65% (G:11.64% B:0.57%)
3.	XG Roller+	13/10 13/9	eq: +0.285 (-0.037)
	Player: Opponent: 59.38% (G:13.16% B:0.54%) 40.62% (G:12.36% B:0.60%)
4.	XG Roller+	20/16* 13/10	eq: +0.238 (-0.083)
	Player: Opponent: 57.23% (G:15.75% B:0.77%) 42.77% (G:14.24% B:1.10%)
5.	XG Roller+	24/21 20/16*	eq: +0.229 (-0.092)
	Player: Opponent: 56.73% (G:14.11% B:0.61%) 43.27% (G:13.02% B:0.77%)
6.	XG Roller+	20/16* 16/13	eq: +0.184 (-0.137)
	Player: Opponent: 55.56% (G:15.06% B:0.65%) 44.44% (G:13.34% B:0.70%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

Messages In This Thread

• Daily Quiz 4/6
  Daily Quiz -- Wednesday, 11 April 2012, at 5:56 a.m.
  • Daily Quiz 4/6
    kruidenbuiltje -- Wednesday, 11 April 2012, at 8:01 p.m.
  • Daily Quiz 4/6
    David Rennie -- Friday, 13 April 2012, at 9:18 p.m.
  • Daily Quiz 4/6
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 14 April 2012, at 1:22 a.m.
  • Daily Quiz 4/6: XGR+ evals
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 14 April 2012, at 6:50 p.m.