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Not the expected checkerplay error: ROLLOUT

Posted By: leobueno
Date: Friday, 11 May 2012, at 10:17 p.m.

In Response To: Not the expected checkerplay error: rollout? (Timothy Chow)

JSDs > 4

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 5, Leo 4 (match to 7 points)

Move number 3: Leo to play 61

gnubg115

1X2X '2X2X3X2O ' ' ' '2O

 ' '1O1X3O3O2O2O ' '1X3X
Leo128
Position ID: zXbABQTkboPBAA Match ID: cAnnAFAAIAAE

• Leo moves 8/7 8/2

Alert: missed double ( -0.227)!

Cube decision
4-ply cubeless equity +0.246(Money: +0.281)
 0.603 0.209 0.007 - 0.397 0.138 0.004
Cubeful equities:
 4-ply cubeful prune [4ply]
1.Double, take +0.806 
2.Double, pass +1.000 +0.194
3.No double +0.579 -0.227
Proper cube action:Double, take

 

Alert: bad move ( -0.080)

# Ply Move Equity
  1 R 8/2 3/2 +0.118
 
0.4840.1300.005-0.5160.1820.009 -0.065 +0.118
0.0030.0030.002-0.0030.0080.004 0.010 0.015
 
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  378 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 915103323 and quasi-random dice  
  Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 4 (min. 360 games)  
  Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
2 R 8/7 8/2 +0.038 ( -0.080)
 
0.4750.0980.002-0.5250.0950.008 -0.042 +0.038
0.0020.0030.001-0.0020.0050.003 0.009 0.013
 
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  375 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 915103323 and quasi-random dice  
  Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 4 (min. 360 games)  
  Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 R 18/11* -0.040 ( -0.158)
 
0.4910.1290.013-0.5090.2940.023 -0.197 -0.040
0.0030.0020.004-0.0030.0090.005 0.014 0.019
 
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  361 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 915103323 and quasi-random dice  
  Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 4 (min. 360 games)  
  Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 4 7/6 7/1 -0.037 ( -0.154)
  0.463 0.093 0.002 - 0.537 0.101 0.004  
  4-ply cubeful prune [4ply]  
  5 3 13/6 -0.232 ( -0.349)
  0.417 0.111 0.006 - 0.583 0.200 0.004  
  3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]  
  6 3 13/7 3/2 -0.259 ( -0.376)
  0.412 0.110 0.005 - 0.588 0.214 0.004  
  3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]  
  7 3 13/7 5/4* -0.267 ( -0.385)
  0.436 0.129 0.005 - 0.564 0.360 0.012  
  3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]  
  8 3 8/1 -0.277 ( -0.395)
  0.409 0.093 0.003 - 0.591 0.173 0.005  
  3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]  

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