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BGonline.org Forums
Quick EPC quiz
Posted By: Stein Kulseth In Response To: Quick EPC quiz (Bob Koca)
Date: Sunday, 3 February 2013, at 12:07 a.m.
Flat should be around 10 pips, by rule of thumb, I guess A) is around there.
It seems obvious that B) is worse, bearoff formulas typically, penalizes a pip for an empty point, and the 6 point is open (although it may be the more comfortable hole), so B) should be 10.something, close to 11.
However, someplace, when you go on removing checkers, the trend will turn. The oneroll position that would be F) obviously has 49/6 - 2 = 6.17 pips wastage, and the tworoll E) should have 49/6 + 31/36 * 49/6 - 6 = 9.2 pips wastage.
The threeroll should be again a bit more than this, with a little less than 25% to be off in 2 it should be a tad above 8.17*2.75 - 12 which I put at 10.5, + another 0.2 pip or so for the possibility of a miss. It should be worse than A but better than B. It would seem that C is again worse than D, but whether it is worse than B, I don't take the time to compute. Lets have B and C tied for third, easy way out.
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