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Watch for falling gammons -- ROLLOUT

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Wednesday, 3 July 2013, at 5:43 p.m.

In Response To: Watch for falling gammons (Chuck Bower)

Apparently a tough problem (both from the paucity of responses and the closeness of the top candidates). The matchscore certainly affects the play. Thanks to Taper_Mike for posting a response.





White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 132
9 point match
pip: 185
score: 7

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----aCD-----cD---e-d-bA-C-:1:1:1:43:7:3:0:9:10
Blue to play 43

1.Rollout122/15eq: -0.6307
Player:
Opponent:		33.17% (G:6.04% B:0.59%)
66.83% (G:25.06% B:1.29%)		Conf.: ±0.0090 (-0.6397...-0.6217) - [79.1%]
Duration: 2 minutes 06 seconds
2.Rollout124/20 6/3eq: -0.6371 (-0.0064)
Player:
Opponent:		35.18% (G:6.80% B:0.87%)
64.82% (G:27.60% B:1.98%)		Conf.: ±0.0108 (-0.6480...-0.6263) - [18.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 16 seconds
3.Rollout16/2 5/2eq: -0.6415 (-0.0108)
Player:
Opponent:		33.79% (G:6.76% B:0.76%)
66.21% (G:26.34% B:1.62%)		Conf.: ±0.0084 (-0.6500...-0.6331) - [2.7%]
Duration: 2 minutes 01 second
4.Rollout122/18 6/3eq: -0.6490 (-0.0183)
Player:
Opponent:		34.63% (G:6.79% B:0.96%)
65.37% (G:28.15% B:1.82%)		Conf.: ±0.0105 (-0.6595...-0.6384) - [0.2%]
Duration: 2 minutes 11 seconds
5.Rollout124/20 13/10eq: -0.6576 (-0.0269)
Player:
Opponent:		35.58% (G:6.97% B:0.66%)
64.42% (G:29.95% B:2.13%)		Conf.: ±0.0101 (-0.6677...-0.6475) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 45 seconds
6.Rollout113/6eq: -0.6610 (-0.0303)
Player:
Opponent:		32.25% (G:6.46% B:0.76%)
67.75% (G:25.62% B:1.49%)		Conf.: ±0.0091 (-0.6700...-0.6519) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 06 seconds
7.Rollout113/9 6/3eq: -0.6611 (-0.0304)
Player:
Opponent:		35.08% (G:6.38% B:0.88%)
64.92% (G:29.37% B:2.10%)		Conf.: ±0.0102 (-0.6713...-0.6508) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 32 seconds
8.Rollout122/18 13/10eq: -0.6660 (-0.0353)
Player:
Opponent:		33.86% (G:6.86% B:0.89%)
66.14% (G:28.30% B:1.82%)		Conf.: ±0.0104 (-0.6764...-0.6556) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 32 seconds
9.Rollout113/10 13/9eq: -0.7245 (-0.0938)
Player:
Opponent:		34.52% (G:6.29% B:0.77%)
65.48% (G:33.23% B:2.54%)		Conf.: ±0.0125 (-0.7370...-0.7120) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 52 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 81542441
Moves: 2-ply, cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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