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DQ: Play the 5 safely, then what?

Posted By: HOMINID
Date: Thursday, 5 September 2013, at 12:19 p.m.

In Response To: DQ: Play the 5 safely, then what? (Dmitriy Obukhov)

I FEEL A LITTLE OUT OF PLACE IN THIS RAREFIED ATMOSPHERE A FRIEND OF MINE HELPED ME BACKGAMMON IS A GAME OF ODDS PROBABILITY AND CHANCE MOSTLY WE DONT LIKE BEING HIT AND SENT HOME WE NEED TO CALCULATE THE ODDS OVER THE TABLE THAT CAN BE TRICKY FOR MOST IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE HEY THERES A DUPLICATION PLAY WE KNOW THAT WORKS 97% OF THE TIME I PLAY 18-13 17 OF COURSE STAYS WHERE IT IS WERE DUPLICATING AFTER ALL THAT LEAVES 2 PLAYS 8-6 AND 13-11 8-6 CREATES A NICE STEEPLE MMMM NOT A GOOD IDEA THAT LEAVES 13-11 OH DEAR AN EXTRA BLOT WHAT TO DO I PROBABLY WOULD HAVE PLAYED 8-6 MY FRIEND SAYS NO CERTAINLY NOT A DISASTER BUT HERES THE THING THE BEST IS 13-11 FOR A VERY GOOD REASON COUNT THE SHOTS AND NOTE THAT 18-13, 17-15 PRODUCES A JOKER SHOT FOR 2 CHIPS THE NUMBER OF HITS FROM EITHER PLAY IS VERY SIMILAR SO WHY IS 18-11 TOP OF THE HEAP IT PRODUCES AN EXTRA SPARE AT VERY LITTLE COST PROBABLY OTHER NUANCES AND A FAR BETTER STRUCTURE SOMEONE SAID IF IT LOOKS UGLY IT PROBABLY IS MY RULE OF THUMB IS PLAY DUPLICATION LOOK AFTER YOUR STUCTURE MY FRIEND IS XG2

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