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OTB & RO

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Wednesday, 25 September 2013, at 4:00 a.m.

In Response To: Cube action? (John O'Hagan)

I estimated the leader's tp to be ~29% + 22% of my g's and both of these are about right. Lots of reasons to recube here: Most of my losses will be g's which lose the match regardless if the cube's on 2 or 4, it's not clear that the opponent has a take, and most 6s lose the market so it's a pretty volatile position. So it went R/T which the RO shows to be correct.

is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 113
5 point match
pip: 149
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-aaaBCBBBA-------a-abbbbbC:1:1:1:00:0:1:0:5:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 63.58% (G:17.73% B:1.11%) 63.79% (G:16.96% B:2.01%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 36.42% (G:26.12% B:0.69%) 36.21% (G:26.66% B:0.64%)
Cubeless Equities +0.133 +0.870
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.692 (-0.178)±0.013 (+0.679..+0.705)
Redouble/Take:+0.870±0.015 (+0.855..+0.884)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.130)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 11 minutes 38 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2

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