
              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 73 | 11 point match | pip: 89 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=aBBC-BB-a--A-B-A----c-bbf-:3:1:1:44:0:0:0:11:10 |
Blue to play 44 |
1. | Rollout1 | 13/9(2) 11/3 | eq: +0.893 |
| Player: Opponent: | 86.17% (G:15.04% B:0.26%) 13.83% (G:0.39% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.892...+0.895) - [100.0%] Duration: 17.9 seconds |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 15/7 13/9(2) | eq: +0.875 (-0.019) |
| Player: Opponent: | 87.01% (G:18.35% B:0.35%) 12.99% (G:0.48% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.873...+0.876) - [0.0%] Duration: 22.7 seconds |
|
3. | XG Roller+ | 13/5 11/3 | eq: +0.871 (-0.022) |
| Player: Opponent: | 85.71% (G:18.34% B:0.38%) 14.29% (G:0.58% B:0.01%) | |
|
4. | XG Roller+ | 13/5(2) | eq: +0.859 (-0.034) |
| Player: Opponent: | 85.79% (G:18.02% B:0.37%) 14.21% (G:0.54% B:0.00%) | |
|
5. | 3-ply | 15/11 13/1 | eq: +0.845 (-0.048) |
| Player: Opponent: | 85.00% (G:18.76% B:0.40%) 15.00% (G:0.49% B:0.00%) | |
|
|
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
I wavered between the top 2 for about 2 minutes. I felt that I would be cubing Neil out if he danced next roll since I had just missed the blot and that I didn't want to give him the joker (in addition to 4's).
I checked on mobile XG after and the top play wasn't in the top 5 and I told Neil I had been chicken and messed up. I also said I would have made the only other play (giving the 4-3) if I was holding a 2-cube ATS.
Turns out...

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 73 | 11 point match | pip: 89 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=aBBC-BB-a--A-B-A----c-bbf-:1:1:1:44:0:0:0:11:10 |
Blue to play 44 |
1. | Rollout1 | 15/7 13/9(2) | eq: +1.071 |
| Player: Opponent: | 86.23% (G:20.30% B:0.54%) 13.77% (G:0.52% B:0.01%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.067...+1.075) - [100.0%] Duration: 41.9 seconds |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 13/9(2) 11/3 | eq: +1.053 (-0.018) |
| Player: Opponent: | 85.32% (G:17.16% B:0.38%) 14.68% (G:0.34% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.049...+1.057) - [0.0%] Duration: 37.0 seconds |
|
3. | XG Roller+ | 13/5(2) | eq: +1.017 (-0.053) |
| Player: Opponent: | 85.38% (G:19.29% B:0.46%) 14.62% (G:0.45% B:0.00%) | |
|
4. | 3-ply | 13/5 11/3 | eq: +1.019 (-0.052) |
| Player: Opponent: | 85.47% (G:19.31% B:0.40%) 14.53% (G:0.58% B:0.00%) | |
|
5. | 3-ply | 15/7 13/5 | eq: +1.016 (-0.055) |
| Player: Opponent: | 85.19% (G:22.01% B:0.48%) 14.81% (G:1.56% B:0.01%) | |
|
|
1 537 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2