Extra gammon wins make the hit correct. Very tough play to figure out.
        
 
          
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 146 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby | pip: 132
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-B---aDAC---fC---bBd-b----:0:0:1:61:0:0:1:0:10 |
| Blue to play 61 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/7 6/5* | eq: +0.455 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.06% (G:19.36% B:0.21%)
40.94% (G:6.84% B:0.31%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.450...+0.460) - [100.0%]
Duration: 37 minutes 00 second |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/7 8/7 | eq: +0.442 (-0.014) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 61.28% (G:15.60% B:0.18%)
38.72% (G:6.07% B:0.26%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.437...+0.446) - [0.0%]
Duration: 38 minutes 39 seconds |
|
| |
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 92893372
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
It's also crystal clear what the best play is at each of the three key match scores.
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 146 | | 1 point match | pip: 132
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-B---aDAC---fC---bBd-b----:0:0:1:61:0:0:0:1:10 |
| Blue to play 61 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/7 8/7 | eq: +0.228 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 61.42% (G:15.42% B:0.38%)
38.58% (G:5.69% B:0.32%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.224...+0.233) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 27 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/7 6/5* | eq: +0.181 (-0.047) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.06% (G:18.66% B:0.21%)
40.94% (G:6.99% B:0.53%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.177...+0.185) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 39 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 12309939
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
| | White is Player 2
score: 1
pip: 146 | 2 point match
Crawford | pip: 132
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-B---aDAC---fC---bBd-b----:0:0:1:61:0:1:1:2:10 |
| Blue to play 61 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/7 6/5* | eq: +0.582 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.00% (G:20.10% B:0.31%)
41.00% (G:8.10% B:0.71%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.575...+0.589) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 15 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/7 8/7 | eq: +0.486 (-0.096) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 62.88% (G:11.44% B:0.31%)
37.12% (G:4.55% B:0.29%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.481...+0.492) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 05 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 12309939
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 146 | 2 point match
Crawford | pip: 132
score: 1
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-B---aDAC---fC---bBd-b----:0:0:1:61:1:0:1:2:10 |
| Blue to play 61 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/7 8/7 | eq: +0.099 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 61.96% (G:17.44% B:0.35%)
38.04% (G:7.01% B:0.41%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.093...+0.105) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 23 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/7 6/5* | eq: +0.024 (-0.075) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.97% (G:21.77% B:0.41%)
40.03% (G:8.77% B:0.52%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.018...+0.030) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 26 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 12309939
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
Going back to the original unlimited games position, bringing one more white checker down makes the safe play come out ahead.
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 141 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby | pip: 132
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-B---aDAC---eC---cBd-b----:0:0:1:61:0:0:1:0:10 |
| Blue to play 61 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/7 8/7 | eq: +0.304 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 58.08% (G:10.83% B:0.12%)
41.92% (G:5.45% B:0.22%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.299...+0.309) - [100.0%]
Duration: 22 minutes 06 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/7 6/5* | eq: +0.280 (-0.024) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 55.58% (G:16.67% B:0.19%)
44.42% (G:7.63% B:0.35%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.273...+0.287) - [0.0%]
Duration: 21 minutes 01 second |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 48613556
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
More variants to follow playing around with the position of two home board points.