Extra gammon wins make the hit correct. Very tough play to figure out.
  White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 146  Unlimited Game Jacoby  pip: 132 score: 0
Blue is Player 1  
XGID=BaDACfCbBdb:0:0:1:61:0:0:1:0:10 
Blue to play 61 
1.  Rollout^{1}  13/7 6/5*  eq: +0.455 
 Player: Opponent:  59.06% (G:19.36% B:0.21%) 40.94% (G:6.84% B:0.31%)  Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.450...+0.460)  [100.0%] Duration: 37 minutes 00 second 

2.  Rollout^{1}  13/7 8/7  eq: +0.442 (0.014) 
 Player: Opponent:  61.28% (G:15.60% B:0.18%) 38.72% (G:6.07% B:0.26%)  Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.437...+0.446)  [0.0%] Duration: 38 minutes 39 seconds 


^{1} 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 92893372 Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
It's also crystal clear what the best play is at each of the three key match scores.
  White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 146  1 point match  pip: 132 score: 0
Blue is Player 1  
XGID=BaDACfCbBdb:0:0:1:61:0:0:0:1:10 
Blue to play 61 
1.  Rollout^{1}  13/7 8/7  eq: +0.228 
 Player: Opponent:  61.42% (G:15.42% B:0.38%) 38.58% (G:5.69% B:0.32%)  Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.224...+0.233)  [100.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 27 seconds 

2.  Rollout^{1}  13/7 6/5*  eq: +0.181 (0.047) 
 Player: Opponent:  59.06% (G:18.66% B:0.21%) 40.94% (G:6.99% B:0.53%)  Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.177...+0.185)  [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 39 seconds 


^{1} 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 12309939 Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
  White is Player 2
score: 1 pip: 146  2 point match Crawford  pip: 132 score: 0
Blue is Player 1  
XGID=BaDACfCbBdb:0:0:1:61:0:1:1:2:10 
Blue to play 61 
1.  Rollout^{1}  13/7 6/5*  eq: +0.582 
 Player: Opponent:  59.00% (G:20.10% B:0.31%) 41.00% (G:8.10% B:0.71%)  Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.575...+0.589)  [100.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 15 seconds 

2.  Rollout^{1}  13/7 8/7  eq: +0.486 (0.096) 
 Player: Opponent:  62.88% (G:11.44% B:0.31%) 37.12% (G:4.55% B:0.29%)  Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.481...+0.492)  [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 05 seconds 


^{1} 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 12309939 Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
  White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 146  2 point match Crawford  pip: 132 score: 1
Blue is Player 1  
XGID=BaDACfCbBdb:0:0:1:61:1:0:1:2:10 
Blue to play 61 
1.  Rollout^{1}  13/7 8/7  eq: +0.099 
 Player: Opponent:  61.96% (G:17.44% B:0.35%) 38.04% (G:7.01% B:0.41%)  Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.093...+0.105)  [100.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 23 seconds 

2.  Rollout^{1}  13/7 6/5*  eq: +0.024 (0.075) 
 Player: Opponent:  59.97% (G:21.77% B:0.41%) 40.03% (G:8.77% B:0.52%)  Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.018...+0.030)  [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 26 seconds 


^{1} 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 12309939 Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
Going back to the original unlimited games position, bringing one more white checker down makes the safe play come out ahead.
  White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 141  Unlimited Game Jacoby  pip: 132 score: 0
Blue is Player 1  
XGID=BaDACeCcBdb:0:0:1:61:0:0:1:0:10 
Blue to play 61 
1.  Rollout^{1}  13/7 8/7  eq: +0.304 
 Player: Opponent:  58.08% (G:10.83% B:0.12%) 41.92% (G:5.45% B:0.22%)  Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.299...+0.309)  [100.0%] Duration: 22 minutes 06 seconds 

2.  Rollout^{1}  13/7 6/5*  eq: +0.280 (0.024) 
 Player: Opponent:  55.58% (G:16.67% B:0.19%) 44.42% (G:7.63% B:0.35%)  Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.273...+0.287)  [0.0%] Duration: 21 minutes 01 second 


^{1} 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 48613556 Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
More variants to follow playing around with the position of two home board points.