Robertie explains why 8/2 6/2 is a wrong idea -- blue needs his 5 point, not the 2 point. His suggested move is 13/9 13/7, but blue does not have enough timing to squat on the ace point in this priming battle.
         
 
        
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 138 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby | pip: 136
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-b-BB-CBB----Bb--bbe-b--B-:0:0:1:64:0:0:1:0:10 |
| Blue to play 64 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/20 13/7 | eq: +0.169 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 55.33% (G:20.35% B:2.01%)
44.67% (G:17.14% B:0.80%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.163...+0.176) - [100.0%]
Duration: 19 minutes 58 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/9 13/7 | eq: +0.148 (-0.022) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 53.37% (G:18.80% B:1.65%)
46.63% (G:13.25% B:0.77%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.142...+0.154) - [0.0%]
Duration: 17 minutes 20 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | 8/2 6/2 | eq: +0.060 (-0.109) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 51.18% (G:18.56% B:1.49%)
48.82% (G:15.28% B:0.96%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.046...+0.074) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 19 seconds |
|
| |
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 13140766
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 13140766
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
Give blue just a tad more timing and 13/9 13/7 is the right move.
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 132 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby | pip: 136
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-b-BB-CBB----Bb--bbc-bb-B-:0:0:1:64:0:0:1:0:10 |
| Blue to play 64 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/9 13/7 | eq: -0.142 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 46.10% (G:16.03% B:1.45%)
53.90% (G:16.56% B:1.08%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.156...-0.127) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 48 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 8/2 6/2 | eq: -0.255 (-0.113) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 43.54% (G:14.41% B:1.01%)
56.46% (G:18.45% B:1.36%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.269...-0.241) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 57 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 24/20 13/7 | eq: -0.347 (-0.205) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 44.36% (G:14.53% B:1.33%)
55.64% (G:25.15% B:1.29%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.361...-0.333) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 49 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 32599260
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
More variants:
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 136 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby | pip: 136
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-b-BB-CBB----Bb--bbd-c--B-:0:0:1:64:0:0:1:0:10 |
| Blue to play 64 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/9 13/7 | eq: +0.156 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 53.71% (G:18.73% B:1.73%)
46.29% (G:13.49% B:0.80%) | Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.145...+0.167) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 25 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/20 13/7 | eq: +0.122 (-0.034) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 54.91% (G:19.23% B:1.68%)
45.09% (G:17.98% B:0.81%) | Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.110...+0.134) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 55 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | 8/2 6/2 | eq: +0.012 (-0.144) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50.50% (G:17.96% B:1.46%)
49.50% (G:15.96% B:1.04%) | Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.004...+0.027) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 19 seconds |
|
| |
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 32599260
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 32599260
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 139 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby | pip: 136
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-b-BB-CBB----Bb--bcd-b--B-:0:0:1:64:0:0:1:0:10 |
| Blue to play 64 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/20 13/7 | eq: -0.041 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50.22% (G:18.50% B:1.65%)
49.78% (G:17.82% B:0.86%) | Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.058...-0.024) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 49 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/9 13/7 | eq: -0.100 (-0.058) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.32% (G:16.44% B:1.29%)
52.68% (G:15.12% B:0.88%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.114...-0.085) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 20 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 8/2 6/2 | eq: -0.174 (-0.132) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 45.46% (G:16.12% B:1.28%)
54.54% (G:17.56% B:1.23%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.188...-0.159) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 29 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 32599260
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 141 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby | pip: 136
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-b-BB-CBB----Bb--ccc-b--B-:0:0:1:64:0:0:1:0:10 |
| Blue to play 64 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/20 13/7 | eq: -0.089 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 48.08% (G:17.98% B:1.41%)
51.92% (G:16.71% B:0.89%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.104...-0.074) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 44 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/9 13/7 | eq: -0.234 (-0.146) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 43.80% (G:15.56% B:1.26%)
56.20% (G:15.94% B:0.94%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.250...-0.219) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 22 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 8/2 6/2 | eq: -0.284 (-0.195) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 42.45% (G:14.85% B:1.17%)
57.55% (G:18.20% B:1.18%) | Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.302...-0.266) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 31 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 32599260
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10