OTB I got this right after some thought. I want a checker on my 5 pt, and a checker on my 6 pt and starting to clear is good as there's little my opp wants to hit with and little loss in equity even if he rolls something that properly hits.
My opp erred with his 43 and hit next which is a big mistake.
         
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 3
pip: 171 | | 15 point match | pip: 96
score: 9
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-bBbBBBBC-A---Ab-c-ea-----:0:0:1:51:9:3:0:15:10 |
| Blue to play 51 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 10/5 7/6 | eq: +0.6872 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 63.73% (G:29.47% B:3.63%)
36.27% (G:2.27% B:0.08%) | Conf.: ±0.0138 (+0.6734...+0.7010) - [100.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 47 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 7/6 7/2 | eq: +0.6421 (-0.0451) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 61.76% (G:28.61% B:3.95%)
38.24% (G:1.60% B:0.06%) | Conf.: ±0.0144 (+0.6276...+0.6565) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 35 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 14/13 10/5 | eq: +0.5690 (-0.1182) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 60.64% (G:27.18% B:3.42%)
39.36% (G:2.79% B:0.12%) | Conf.: ±0.0136 (+0.5554...+0.5827) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 32 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 14/9 7/6 | eq: +0.5613 (-0.1259) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 61.53% (G:30.99% B:4.38%)
38.47% (G:4.86% B:0.24%) | Conf.: ±0.0160 (+0.5454...+0.5773) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 12 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout1 | 10/5 8/7 | eq: +0.5599 (-0.1272) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 60.76% (G:26.50% B:3.63%)
39.24% (G:2.80% B:0.10%) | Conf.: ±0.0137 (+0.5462...+0.5736) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 10 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10.193.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2