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Othello's Super-Duper Rollout Results

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Saturday, 23 November 2013, at 3:21 a.m.

In Response To: Othello's Position: I Bet Most Would Make Septuple Whopper (Paul Weaver)

Othello did some rollouts with super-duper settings. Four rollout results of the same position are posted below.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 205
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 36
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aaABa--baaaab-----bb----A:1:-1:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 43

1.Rollout1Bar/18eq: -0.045
Player:
Opponent:		48.07% (G:19.97% B:6.69%)
51.93% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.042 (-0.086...-0.003) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 07 minutes
2.xgRollout1Bar/21 4/1* eq: -0.174 (-0.129)
Player:
Opponent:		45.70% (G:16.46% B:3.90%)
54.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.047 (-0.221...-0.126) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 23 minutes
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: 3-ply
Search interval: Gigantic

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 205
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 36
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aaABa--baaaab-----bb----A:1:-1:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 43

1.xgRollout1Bar/21 4/1* eq: -0.176
Player:
Opponent:		44.88% (G:16.64% B:5.52%)
55.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.075 (-0.252...-0.101) - [98.2%]
Duration: 2 hours 48 minutes
2.Rollout1Bar/18eq: -0.281 (-0.105)
Player:
Opponent:		41.19% (G:15.10% B:5.47%)
58.81% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.062 (-0.343...-0.219) - [1.8%]
Duration: 2 hours 30 minutes
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: XG Roller, cube decisions: 3-ply
Search interval: Gigantic

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 205
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 36
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aaABa--baaaab-----bb----A:1:-1:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 43

1.xgRollout1Bar/21 4/1* eq: +0.282
Player:
Opponent:		57.21% (G:28.31% B:7.39%)
42.79% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.106 (+0.176...+0.389) - [100.0%]
Duration: 38 minutes 41 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/18eq: -0.109 (-0.391)
Player:
Opponent:		46.47% (G:18.05% B:5.61%)
53.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.063 (-0.172...-0.046) - [0.0%]
Duration: 18 minutes 31 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
Search interval: Gigantic

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 205
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 36
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aaABa--baaaab-----bb----A:1:-1:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 43

1.xgRollout1Bar/21 4/1* eq: -0.176
Player:
Opponent:		44.88% (G:16.64% B:5.52%)
55.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.075 (-0.252...-0.101) - [98.2%]
Duration: 2 hours 48 minutes
2.Rollout1Bar/18eq: -0.281 (-0.105)
Player:
Opponent:		41.19% (G:15.10% B:5.47%)
58.81% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.062 (-0.343...-0.219) - [1.8%]
Duration: 2 hours 30 minutes
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: XG Roller, cube decisions: 3-ply
Search interval: Gigantic

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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