|
BGonline.org Forums
EPC: calculate win%?
Posted By: PINO In Response To: EPC: calculate win%? (Bob Koca)
Date: Wednesday, 4 December 2013, at 1:47 p.m.
The table gives you the value of one pip difference given the length of the race (as measured by the potential doubler. His winning prob = 0.5 + parameter * (EPC doublee - EPC doubler +4.1). The parameter decreases in value the longer the race. If I had to redo the exercie and do the necessary series of linearisations (which we know aren't linear), I'd do them around 70 or 75%.
|
BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.