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Next Roll Safety vs. Series of Rolls

Posted By: jdg
Date: Thursday, 12 December 2013, at 3:26 p.m.

	is Player 2 score: 3 pip: 93 11 point match pip: 52 score: 0 is Player 1
XGID=-ECb-CBB-----------ccabbb-:2:-1:1:42:0:3:0:11:10
to play 42

1.	XG Roller++	7/1	eq: +0.162
	Player: Opponent: 60.30% (G:2.23% B:0.01%) 39.70% (G:1.65% B:0.03%)
2.	XG Roller++	6/4 6/2	eq: +0.048 (-0.114)
	Player: Opponent: 55.43% (G:1.57% B:0.01%) 44.57% (G:3.71% B:0.07%)
3.	1-ply	7/5 6/2	eq: -0.290 (-0.453)
	Player: Opponent: 42.64% (G:1.95% B:0.01%) 57.36% (G:11.84% B:0.11%)
4.	1-ply	6/4 5/1	eq: -0.361 (-0.523)
	Player: Opponent: 39.60% (G:1.59% B:0.01%) 60.40% (G:10.84% B:0.10%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Without using next two roll shot counts, looking at this position, I figured: 1) Dup the ones; 2) Let him bury some checkers if he misses; 3) Minimize shots this roll.

Not... even... close.

Any guidelines as to the number of extra shots to give now vs. safety later?

jdg

Messages In This Thread

• Next Roll Safety vs. Series of Rolls
  jdg -- Thursday, 12 December 2013, at 3:26 p.m.
  • Next Roll Safety vs. Series of Rolls
    Keene -- Thursday, 12 December 2013, at 3:49 p.m.