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Estimate, Guesstimate, or WAG

Posted By: Bob Koca
Date: Wednesday, 22 January 2014, at 1:11 a.m.

In Response To: Estimate, Guesstimate, or WAG (David Rennie)

You take some guesses for win % and take point. But given those guesses you seem confident that 65% win chance and say 29% take point is not a recube.

The give point is also relevant here and is a bit lower than the money 50% so Blue is further in the doubling window and I think this is a little more volatile than a midlength race since white entering or not is important.

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